Board Names
8
Reported
8
Beats
3
Misses
5
In Line
0
Hit Rate
37.5%
Performance by Grade
This is the cleanest read on whether A names are outperforming B and C names.
A
Reported: 0
Beats: 0
Misses: 0
In Line: 0
Hit Rate: —
Avg Surprise %: —
B
Reported: 0
Beats: 0
Misses: 0
In Line: 0
Hit Rate: —
Avg Surprise %: —
C
Reported: 8
Beats: 3
Misses: 5
In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 37.5%
Avg Surprise %: -624.48%
Performance by Confidence Bucket
Shows whether the higher setup-score buckets are actually validating after reports hit.
High Confidence
Reported: 0
Beats: 0
Misses: 0
In Line: 0
Hit Rate: —
Medium Confidence
Reported: 0
Beats: 0
Misses: 0
In Line: 0
Hit Rate: —
Watchlist
Reported: 8
Beats: 3
Misses: 5
In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 37.5%
Weekly Trend
Simple trend view for the last few weeks so you can see if the model is improving.
| Week Start | Beats | Misses | In Line | Hit Rate | Avg Surprise % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 37.5% | -624.48% |
| 2026-06-15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 66.7% | -0.20% |
| 2026-06-08 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 85.7% | +26.06% |
| 2026-06-01 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 91.7% | +36.93% |
| 2026-05-25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-18 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 60% | +1.77% |
| 2026-05-11 | 27 | 18 | 2 | 60% | -50.46% |
Reported Names This Week
Useful as a spot-check table to make sure the grade math and reported outcomes line up.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Grade | Bucket | Score | Surprise % | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | FRVO | Fervo Energy Co. - Class A | C | Watchlist | 9.66 | -5,169.12% | MISS |
| 2026-06-23 | CBRS | Cerebras Systems Inc - Class A | C | Watchlist | 15.00 | +75.67% | BEAT |
| 2026-06-23 | CCL | Carnival Corporation Ltd (Paired Stock) | C | Watchlist | 19.00 | -42.66% | MISS |
| 2026-06-23 | KBH | KB Home | C | Watchlist | 6.54 | +24.33% | BEAT |
| 2026-06-24 | MU | Micron Technology Inc | C | Watchlist | 19.00 | -41.04% | MISS |
| 2026-06-25 | MKC | McCormick & Co. Inc (Non Voting) | C | Watchlist | 13.74 | -5.59% | MISS |
| 2026-06-30 | NKE | Nike Inc - Class B | C | Watchlist | 15.00 | +183.40% | BEAT |
| 2026-07-01 | GIS | General Mills Inc | C | Watchlist | 15.00 | -20.83% | MISS |
