Tracks how earnings picks performed after reporting.
Filter by board status, verification, time, and fundamentals.
Showing: Verified Only
Total
53
Made Board
53
Beats
37
Misses
14
In Line
2
Hit Rate
72.5%
Confidence Bucket Performance
Only reported names that actually made the board are included below.
High Confidence
Reported: 11
Beats: 6 Misses: 4 In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 60%
Median Surprise: +1.60%
Avg Surprise: +57.84%
Trimmed Avg: +46.11% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -15.71% Best: +236.91%
Medium Confidence
Reported: 24
Beats: 17 Misses: 6 In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 73.9%
Median Surprise: +6.54%
Avg Surprise: +16.33%
Trimmed Avg: +12.28% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -88.56% Best: +210.29%
Watchlist
Reported: 18
Beats: 14 Misses: 4 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 77.8%
Median Surprise: +6.75%
Avg Surprise: -14.60%
Trimmed Avg: +8.37% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -475.41% Best: +78.68%
Grade Performance
Win rate, median & average surprise % by grade. Trimmed avg excludes the single best and worst outlier.
A
Reported: 11
Beats: 6 Misses: 4 In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 60%
Median Surprise: +1.60%
Avg Surprise: +57.84%
Trimmed Avg: +46.11% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -15.71% Best: +236.91%
B
Reported: 24
Beats: 17 Misses: 6 In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 73.9%
Median Surprise: +6.54%
Avg Surprise: +16.33%
Trimmed Avg: +12.28% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -88.56% Best: +210.29%
C
Reported: 12
Beats: 11 Misses: 1 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 91.7%
Median Surprise: +8.80%
Avg Surprise: -30.66%
Trimmed Avg: +8.41% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -475.41% Best: +23.42%
D
Reported: 4
Beats: 2 Misses: 2 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 50%
Median Surprise: -1.40%
Avg Surprise: +17.59%
Trimmed Avg: -1.40% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -5.52% Best: +78.68%
F
Reported: 2
Beats: 1 Misses: 1 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 50%
Median Surprise: +17.36%
Avg Surprise: +17.36%
Worst: -16.31% Best: +51.02%
Reported Names
Only names that made the board are shown.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Grade | Setup Tier | Score | Risk | Trade Tag | Price | Exp EPS | Act EPS | EPS Δ % | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | AMKR | AMKOR Technology Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 46.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $78.10 | 0.25 | 0.33 | +34.31% | Beat |
| 2026-04-27 | BRO | Brown & Brown Inc | A | High Confidence | 55.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $65.90 | 1.38 | 1.39 | +0.76% | In Line |
| 2026-04-27 | CCK | Crown Holdings Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 42.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $101.13 | 1.75 | 1.86 | +6.38% | Beat |
| 2026-04-27 | CR | Crane Company | C | Watchlist | 35.0 | Low Growth | Volatility | $180.08 | 1.49 | 1.65 | +10.59% | Beat |
| 2026-04-27 | DPZ | Dominos Pizza Inc | D | Watchlist | 29.0 | Low Growth | Watch Only | $367.83 | 4.32 | 4.13 | -4.38% | Miss |
| 2026-04-28 | ARCC | Ares Capital Corp | F | Watchlist | 8.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $18.67 | 0.49 | 0.41 | -16.31% | Miss |
| 2026-04-28 | ASH | Ashland Inc | D | Watchlist | 28.0 | Low Growth | Watch Only | $57.40 | 0.96 | 0.91 | -5.52% | Miss |
| 2026-04-28 | BE | Bloom Energy Corp - Class A | A | High Confidence | 55.0 | Valuation Risk | Fade | $231.17 | 0.13 | 0.44 | +235.62% | Beat |
| 2026-04-28 | BEN | Franklin Resources Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 45.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $27.12 | 0.56 | 0.71 | +26.31% | Beat |
| 2026-04-28 | CNC | Centene Corp | A | High Confidence | 64.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $41.82 | 2.14 | 3.37 | +57.34% | Beat |
| 2026-04-28 | CVLT | Commvault Systems Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 43.0 | Liquidity Trap | Conditional | $93.92 | 1.11 | 1.28 | +15.76% | Beat |
| 2026-04-28 | ENPH | Enphase Energy Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 52.0 | Clean Setup | Conditional | $35.77 | 0.44 | 0.47 | +6.48% | Beat |
| 2026-04-28 | ESI | Element Solutions Inc | C | Watchlist | 35.0 | Low Growth | Volatility | $40.34 | 0.39 | 0.41 | +6.16% | Beat |
| 2026-04-28 | GLXY | Galaxy Digital | A | High Confidence | 77.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $26.01 | -0.44 | -0.49 | -11.34% | Miss |
| 2026-04-28 | GM | General Motors Company | B | Medium Confidence | 47.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $78.05 | 2.70 | 3.70 | +36.83% | Beat |
| 2026-04-28 | HOOD | Robinhood Markets Inc - Class A | A | High Confidence | 55.0 | Valuation Risk | Fade | $84.71 | 0.45 | 0.38 | -15.71% | Miss |
| 2026-04-28 | JBLU | Jetblue Airways Corp | B | Medium Confidence | 50.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $5.27 | -0.72 | -0.87 | -20.58% | Miss |
| 2026-04-28 | KO | Coca-Cola Company | C | Watchlist | 36.0 | Valuation Risk | Volatility | $76.63 | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.98% | Beat |
| 2026-04-28 | NXPI | NXP Semiconductors NV | D | Watchlist | 24.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $244.04 | 3.00 | 3.05 | +1.59% | Beat |
| 2026-04-28 | SBUX | Starbucks Corp | C | Watchlist | 38.0 | Low Growth | Volatility | $98.67 | 0.43 | 0.50 | +16.20% | Beat |
| 2026-04-28 | V | Visa Inc - Class A | B | Medium Confidence | 42.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $309.42 | 3.16 | 3.31 | +4.79% | Beat |
| 2026-04-28 | VRNS | Varonis Systems Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 49.0 | Clean Setup | Conditional | $24.53 | -0.05 | 0.06 | +210.29% | Beat |
| 2026-04-29 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare Company Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 51.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $27.38 | 0.27 | 0.37 | +36.43% | Beat |
| 2026-04-29 | AMZN | Amazon.com Inc | A | High Confidence | 55.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $263.99 | 1.66 | 1.56 | -6.13% | Miss |
| 2026-04-29 | AVTR | Avantor Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 42.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $7.90 | 0.16 | 0.17 | +6.45% | Beat |
| 2026-04-29 | CAR | Avis Budget Group Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 47.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $204.00 | -7.23 | -8.01 | -10.81% | Miss |
| 2026-04-29 | CHRW | C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc | C | Watchlist | 36.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $183.03 | 1.26 | 1.35 | +7.34% | Beat |
| 2026-04-29 | CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | B | Medium Confidence | 47.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $34.21 | 0.24 | 0.24 | +0.13% | In Line |
| 2026-04-29 | CSTM | Constellium SE - Class A | A | High Confidence | 61.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $31.38 | 0.62 | 1.42 | +128.22% | Beat |
| 2026-04-29 | CVI | CVR Energy Inc | C | Watchlist | 38.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $31.52 | -0.22 | -1.24 | -475.41% | Miss |
| 2026-04-29 | EAT | Brinker International Inc | A | High Confidence | 62.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $138.67 | 2.90 | 2.87 | -1.03% | Miss |
| 2026-04-29 | F | Ford Motor Company | A | High Confidence | 56.0 | Low Growth | Breakout | $12.38 | 0.20 | 0.66 | +236.91% | Beat |
| 2026-04-29 | GOOGL | Alphabet Inc - Class A | B | Medium Confidence | 45.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $344.40 | 2.76 | 5.11 | +85.37% | Beat |
| 2026-04-29 | GRMN | Garmin Ltd | C | Watchlist | 38.0 | Valuation Risk | Volatility | $259.39 | 1.86 | 2.08 | +12.09% | Beat |
| 2026-04-29 | HAYW | Hayward Holdings Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 41.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $15.36 | 0.11 | 0.13 | +16.59% | Beat |
| 2026-04-29 | META | Meta Platforms Inc - Class A | B | Medium Confidence | 51.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $675.03 | 6.86 | 7.31 | +6.59% | Beat |
| 2026-04-29 | MGM | MGM Resorts International | B | Medium Confidence | 50.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $39.54 | 0.54 | 0.49 | -8.97% | Miss |
| 2026-04-29 | MSFT | Microsoft Corporation | B | Medium Confidence | 45.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $424.62 | 4.14 | 4.27 | +3.14% | Beat |
| 2026-04-29 | QCOM | Qualcomm Inc | A | High Confidence | 55.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $148.85 | 2.61 | 2.65 | +1.60% | Beat |
| 2026-04-29 | SOFI | SoFi Technologies Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 51.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $18.44 | 0.12 | 0.12 | -1.15% | Miss |
| 2026-04-30 | AAPL | Apple Inc | C | Watchlist | 37.0 | Valuation Risk | Volatility | $271.06 | 1.98 | 2.01 | +1.51% | Beat |
| 2026-04-30 | AXTI | AXT Inc | D | Watchlist | 25.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $76.16 | -0.05 | -0.01 | +78.68% | Beat |
| 2026-04-30 | BAX | Baxter International Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 54.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $18.16 | 0.32 | 0.36 | +12.68% | Beat |
| 2026-04-30 | CAH | Cardinal Health Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 41.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $199.85 | 2.80 | 3.17 | +13.08% | Beat |
| 2026-04-30 | CARR | Carrier Global Corp | C | Watchlist | 37.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $60.97 | 0.52 | 0.57 | +10.25% | Beat |
| 2026-04-30 | COP | Conoco Phillips | C | Watchlist | 38.0 | Low Growth | Volatility | $121.76 | 1.53 | 1.89 | +23.42% | Beat |
| 2026-04-30 | DAR | Darling Ingredients Inc | F | Watchlist | 5.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $60.18 | 0.55 | 0.83 | +51.02% | Beat |
| 2026-04-30 | FSLR | First Solar Inc | A | High Confidence | 55.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $193.76 | 2.93 | 3.22 | +9.96% | Beat |
| 2026-04-30 | NTLA | Intellia Therapeutics Inc | C | Watchlist | 39.0 | Valuation Risk | Volatility | $13.63 | -0.94 | -0.83 | +11.24% | Beat |
| 2026-04-30 | PBF | PBF Energy Inc - Class A | B | Medium Confidence | 44.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $40.74 | -0.47 | -0.88 | -88.56% | Miss |
