Tracks how earnings picks performed after reporting.
Filter by board status, verification, time, and fundamentals.
Showing: Verified Only
Total
69
Made Board
69
Beats
41
Misses
23
In Line
5
Hit Rate
64.1%
Confidence Bucket Performance
Only reported names that actually made the board are included below.
High Confidence
Reported: 6
Beats: 3 Misses: 3 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 50%
Median Surprise: +11.51%
Avg Surprise: +215.80%
Trimmed Avg: +163.80% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -213.81% Best: +853.42%
Medium Confidence
Reported: 30
Beats: 12 Misses: 14 In Line: 4
Hit Rate: 46.2%
Median Surprise: -0.51%
Avg Surprise: +53.91%
Trimmed Avg: +2.49% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -625.81% Best: +2,173.58%
Watchlist
Reported: 33
Beats: 26 Misses: 6 In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 81.3%
Median Surprise: +8.54%
Avg Surprise: +3.97%
Trimmed Avg: +11.41% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -751.31% Best: +528.57%
Grade Performance
Win rate, median & average surprise % by grade. Trimmed avg excludes the single best and worst outlier.
A
Reported: 6
Beats: 3 Misses: 3 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 50%
Median Surprise: +11.51%
Avg Surprise: +215.80%
Trimmed Avg: +163.80% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -213.81% Best: +853.42%
B
Reported: 30
Beats: 12 Misses: 14 In Line: 4
Hit Rate: 46.2%
Median Surprise: -0.51%
Avg Surprise: +53.91%
Trimmed Avg: +2.49% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -625.81% Best: +2,173.58%
C
Reported: 15
Beats: 11 Misses: 3 In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 78.6%
Median Surprise: +6.88%
Avg Surprise: +20.32%
Trimmed Avg: +2.77% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -259.82% Best: +528.57%
D
Reported: 8
Beats: 7 Misses: 1 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 87.5%
Median Surprise: +12.69%
Avg Surprise: -35.43%
Trimmed Avg: +44.34% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -751.31% Best: +201.83%
F
Reported: 10
Beats: 8 Misses: 2 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 80%
Median Surprise: +7.78%
Avg Surprise: +10.98%
Trimmed Avg: +8.71% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -22.07% Best: +62.15%
Reported Names
Only names that made the board are shown.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Grade | Setup Tier | Score | Risk | Trade Tag | Price | Exp EPS | Act EPS | EPS Δ % | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | AEP | American Electric Power Company Inc | C | Watchlist | 32.0 | Valuation Risk | Volatility | $136.91 | 1.58 | 1.64 | +4.10% | Beat |
| 2026-05-05 | ALAB | Astera Labs Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 48.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $202.68 | 0.55 | 0.61 | +11.64% | Beat |
| 2026-05-05 | AMD | Advanced Micro Devices Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 51.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $360.54 | 1.30 | 1.37 | +5.27% | Beat |
| 2026-05-05 | BBAI | BigBear.ai Holdings Inc | D | Watchlist | 21.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $4.14 | -0.08 | -0.08 | +1.96% | Beat |
| 2026-05-05 | CC | Chemours Company | D | Watchlist | 26.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $27.73 | -0.05 | 0.05 | +201.83% | Beat |
| 2026-05-05 | CIFR | Cipher Mining Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 51.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $17.04 | -0.26 | -0.28 | -9.38% | Miss |
| 2026-05-05 | CPNG | Coupang Inc - Class A | A | High Confidence | 66.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $20.59 | -0.05 | -0.15 | -213.81% | Miss |
| 2026-05-05 | CYTK | Cytokinetics Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 42.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $63.35 | -1.69 | -1.67 | +0.91% | In Line |
| 2026-05-05 | DVN | Devon Energy Corp | B | Medium Confidence | 48.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $50.56 | 1.05 | 1.04 | -0.59% | In Line |
| 2026-05-05 | ET | Energy Transfer LP | B | Medium Confidence | 47.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $19.94 | 0.40 | 0.35 | -13.07% | Miss |
| 2026-05-05 | GFS | GlobalFoundries Inc | F | Watchlist | 1.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $64.91 | 0.34 | 0.40 | +17.61% | Beat |
| 2026-05-05 | HL | Hecla Mining Company | B | Medium Confidence | 51.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $18.06 | 0.28 | 0.24 | -13.70% | Miss |
| 2026-05-05 | JOBY | Joby Aviation Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 51.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $9.25 | -0.21 | -0.21 | -0.43% | In Line |
| 2026-05-05 | KOS | Kosmos Energy Ltd | C | Watchlist | 31.0 | Low Growth | Volatility | $3.20 | 0.04 | -0.07 | -259.82% | Miss |
| 2026-05-05 | LCID | Lucid Group Inc | A | High Confidence | 66.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $6.54 | -2.70 | -3.46 | -28.30% | Miss |
| 2026-05-05 | MSTR | Microstrategy Inc - Class A | D | Watchlist | 27.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $177.17 | -4.49 | -38.25 | -751.31% | Miss |
| 2026-05-05 | NVTS | Navitas Semiconductor Corp | D | Watchlist | 21.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $17.45 | -0.05 | -0.04 | +16.84% | Beat |
| 2026-05-05 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | C | Watchlist | 31.0 | Low Growth | Volatility | $58.71 | 0.62 | 1.06 | +70.80% | Beat |
| 2026-05-05 | PFE | Pfizer Inc | C | Watchlist | 36.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $26.33 | 0.73 | 0.75 | +3.32% | Beat |
| 2026-05-05 | PYPL | PayPal Holdings Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 47.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $50.44 | 1.29 | 1.34 | +3.59% | Beat |
| 2026-05-05 | SHOP | Shopify Inc - Class A | B | Medium Confidence | 48.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $127.67 | 0.34 | 0.36 | +6.76% | Beat |
| 2026-05-05 | SMCI | Super Micro Computer Inc | A | High Confidence | 76.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $27.09 | 0.63 | 0.84 | +32.30% | Beat |
| 2026-05-05 | TEM | Tempus AI Inc - Class A | B | Medium Confidence | 50.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $55.00 | -0.19 | -0.13 | +32.82% | Beat |
| 2026-05-06 | ADMA | Adma Biologics Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 45.0 | Clean Setup | Conditional | $10.52 | 0.20 | 0.19 | -5.28% | Miss |
| 2026-05-06 | ARM | Arm Holdings plc. | F | Watchlist | 4.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $211.18 | 0.59 | 0.60 | +2.04% | Beat |
| 2026-05-06 | AUR | Aurora Innovation Inc - Class A | F | Watchlist | 10.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $6.13 | -0.12 | -0.11 | +6.62% | Beat |
| 2026-05-06 | COHR | Coherent Corp | B | Medium Confidence | 41.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $329.50 | 1.43 | 1.41 | -1.06% | Miss |
| 2026-05-06 | DIS | Walt Disney Co (The) | C | Watchlist | 36.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $103.08 | 1.50 | 1.57 | +4.59% | Beat |
| 2026-05-06 | FSLY | Fastly Inc - Class A | B | Medium Confidence | 40.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $28.07 | 0.08 | 0.13 | +58.34% | Beat |
| 2026-05-06 | IONQ | IonQ Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 48.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $46.20 | -0.36 | -0.38 | -5.76% | Miss |
| 2026-05-06 | KHC | Kraft Heinz Company | C | Watchlist | 38.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $22.49 | 0.51 | 0.58 | +14.17% | Beat |
| 2026-05-06 | OSCR | Oscar Health Inc - Class A | B | Medium Confidence | 45.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $18.49 | 1.21 | 2.07 | +71.46% | Beat |
| 2026-05-06 | PCT | PureCycle Technologies Inc | F | Watchlist | 4.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $7.86 | -0.25 | -0.21 | +17.39% | Beat |
| 2026-05-06 | PR | Permian Resources Corp - Class A | C | Watchlist | 34.0 | Low Growth | Volatility | $22.10 | 0.36 | 0.39 | +6.88% | Beat |
| 2026-05-06 | RUN | Sunrun Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 50.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $13.06 | -0.03 | 0.62 | +2,173.58% | Beat |
| 2026-05-06 | RVMD | Revolution Medicines Inc | F | Watchlist | 0.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $139.48 | -1.88 | -2.29 | -22.07% | Miss |
| 2026-05-06 | RXRX | Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc - Class A | B | Medium Confidence | 44.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $3.39 | -0.28 | -0.22 | +21.76% | Beat |
| 2026-05-06 | SNAP | Snap Inc - Class A | B | Medium Confidence | 53.0 | Clean Setup | Conditional | $6.29 | 0.10 | 0.10 | +5.26% | Beat |
| 2026-05-06 | UBER | Uber Technologies Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 48.0 | Clean Setup | Conditional | $75.12 | 0.72 | 0.72 | +0.14% | In Line |
| 2026-05-07 | AAOI | Applied Optoelectronics Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 45.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $183.51 | -0.05 | -0.07 | -41.41% | Miss |
| 2026-05-07 | ABNB | Airbnb Inc - Class A | C | Watchlist | 37.0 | Valuation Risk | Volatility | $141.66 | 0.30 | 0.26 | -12.72% | Miss |
| 2026-05-07 | AFRM | Affirm Holdings Inc - Class A | B | Medium Confidence | 42.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $67.54 | 0.17 | 0.30 | +79.00% | Beat |
| 2026-05-07 | AMPX | Amprius Technologies Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 45.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $20.87 | -0.02 | -0.18 | -625.81% | Miss |
| 2026-05-07 | COIN | Coinbase Global Inc - Class A | C | Watchlist | 32.0 | Valuation Risk | Volatility | $191.25 | 0.30 | -0.17 | -156.74% | Miss |
| 2026-05-07 | CRWV | CoreWeave Inc - Class A | B | Medium Confidence | 48.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $119.01 | -0.87 | -1.11 | -27.78% | Miss |
| 2026-05-07 | DKNG | DraftKings Inc - Class A | A | High Confidence | 64.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $23.00 | 0.03 | 0.20 | +660.46% | Beat |
| 2026-05-07 | ESPR | Esperion Therapeutics Inc | A | High Confidence | 64.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $3.11 | -0.03 | 0.22 | +853.42% | Beat |
| 2026-05-07 | GILD | Gilead Sciences Inc | D | Watchlist | 26.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $131.65 | 1.95 | 2.03 | +3.97% | Beat |
| 2026-05-07 | HIMX | Himax Technologies | F | Watchlist | 0.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $12.31 | 0.05 | 0.05 | +8.93% | Beat |
| 2026-05-07 | HTZ | Hertz Global Holdings Inc (New) | C | Watchlist | 33.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $6.14 | -0.72 | -0.72 | +0.51% | In Line |
