Tracks how earnings picks performed after reporting.
Filter by board status, verification, time, and fundamentals.
Showing: Verified Only
Total
50
Made Board
17
Beats
33
Misses
9
In Line
4
Hit Rate
78.6%
Confidence Bucket Performance
Only reported names that actually made the board are included below.
High Confidence
Reported: 3
Beats: 2 Misses: 1 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 66.7%
Median Surprise: +8.74%
Avg Surprise: +20.52%
Trimmed Avg: +8.74% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -23.64% Best: +76.47%
Medium Confidence
Reported: 14
Beats: 6 Misses: 4 In Line: 3
Hit Rate: 60%
Median Surprise: +0.64%
Avg Surprise: +4.94%
Trimmed Avg: +5.11% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -32.13% Best: +40.20%
Watchlist
Reported: 33
Beats: 25 Misses: 4 In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 86.2%
Median Surprise: +10.68%
Avg Surprise: +113.09%
Trimmed Avg: +12.56% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -11.17% Best: +3,052.17%
Grade Performance
Win rate, median & average surprise % by grade. Trimmed avg excludes the single best and worst outlier.
A
Reported: 3
Beats: 2 Misses: 1 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 66.7%
Median Surprise: +8.74%
Avg Surprise: +20.52%
Trimmed Avg: +8.74% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -23.64% Best: +76.47%
B
Reported: 14
Beats: 6 Misses: 4 In Line: 3
Hit Rate: 60%
Median Surprise: +0.64%
Avg Surprise: +4.94%
Trimmed Avg: +5.11% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -32.13% Best: +40.20%
C
Reported: 15
Beats: 9 Misses: 4 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 69.2%
Median Surprise: +9.04%
Avg Surprise: +12.59%
Trimmed Avg: +11.51% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -11.17% Best: +48.15%
D
Reported: 11
Beats: 9 Misses: 0 In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 100%
Median Surprise: +10.56%
Avg Surprise: +10.45%
Trimmed Avg: +10.20% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -0.84% Best: +23.75%
F
Reported: 7
Beats: 7 Misses: 0 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 100%
Median Surprise: +12.33%
Avg Surprise: +446.37%
Trimmed Avg: +14.27% (excl. outliers)
Worst: +1.06% Best: +3,052.17%
Reported Names
Only names that made the board are shown.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Grade | Setup Tier | Score | Risk | Trade Tag | Price | Exp EPS | Act EPS | EPS Δ % | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | AGNC | AGNC Investment Corp | F | Watchlist | 0.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $10.77 | 0.37 | 0.42 | +14.50% | Beat |
| 2026-04-20 | CLF | Cleveland-Cliffs Inc | C | Watchlist | 35.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $9.73 | -0.39 | -0.40 | -2.72% | Miss |
| 2026-04-20 | STLD | Steel Dynamics Inc | C | Watchlist | 36.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $209.35 | 2.84 | 2.78 | -2.14% | Miss |
| 2026-04-21 | ALK | Alaska Air Group Inc | A | High Confidence | 61.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $43.54 | -1.36 | -1.68 | -23.64% | Miss |
| 2026-04-21 | COF | Capital One Financial Corp | B | Medium Confidence | 40.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $205.71 | 4.60 | 4.42 | -3.89% | Miss |
| 2026-04-21 | DHR | Danaher Corp | D | Watchlist | 21.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $195.50 | 1.96 | 2.06 | +5.31% | Beat |
| 2026-04-21 | EQT | EQT Corp | B | Medium Confidence | 45.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $57.00 | 2.14 | 2.33 | +8.68% | Beat |
| 2026-04-21 | GE | General Electric Co | B | Medium Confidence | 45.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $303.60 | 1.64 | 1.86 | +13.16% | Beat |
| 2026-04-21 | GPC | Genuine Parts Co | B | Medium Confidence | 41.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $112.59 | 1.78 | 1.77 | -0.49% | In Line |
| 2026-04-21 | HAL | Halliburton Co | C | Watchlist | 30.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $36.68 | 0.50 | 0.55 | +9.04% | Beat |
| 2026-04-21 | IBKR | Interactive Brokers Group Inc | C | Watchlist | 36.0 | Valuation Risk | Volatility | $81.25 | 0.61 | 0.60 | -2.22% | Miss |
| 2026-04-21 | ISRG | Intuitive Surgical Inc | C | Watchlist | 36.0 | Valuation Risk | Volatility | $465.60 | 2.14 | 2.50 | +16.77% | Beat |
| 2026-04-21 | MMM | 3M Co | D | Watchlist | 26.0 | Low Growth | Watch Only | $151.40 | 2.00 | 2.14 | +6.76% | Beat |
| 2026-04-21 | NLY | Annaly Capital Management Inc | F | Watchlist | 0.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $22.65 | 0.75 | 0.76 | +1.06% | Beat |
| 2026-04-21 | NTRS | Northern Trust Corp | D | Watchlist | 27.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $158.99 | 2.37 | 2.71 | +14.35% | Beat |
| 2026-04-21 | PEGA | Pegasystems Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 40.0 | Clean Setup | Conditional | $43.80 | 0.68 | 0.46 | -32.13% | Miss |
| 2026-04-21 | RRC | Range Resources Corp | B | Medium Confidence | 46.0 | Clean Setup | Conditional | $41.14 | 1.52 | No Result | ||
| 2026-04-21 | SYF | Synchrony Financial | F | Watchlist | 0.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $78.58 | 2.22 | 2.27 | +2.34% | Beat |
| 2026-04-21 | TSCO | Tractor Supply Co | C | Watchlist | 36.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $44.81 | 0.35 | 0.31 | -11.17% | Miss |
| 2026-04-21 | UAL | United Airlines Holdings Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 41.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $98.91 | 1.11 | 1.19 | +7.41% | Beat |
| 2026-04-21 | UNH | UnitedHealth Group Inc | A | High Confidence | 55.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $323.48 | 6.65 | 7.23 | +8.74% | Beat |
| 2026-04-22 | BA | Boeing Co | A | High Confidence | 55.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $225.08 | -0.85 | -0.20 | +76.47% | Beat |
| 2026-04-22 | BSX | Boston Scientific Corp | B | Medium Confidence | 40.0 | Clean Setup | Conditional | $60.99 | 0.79 | 0.80 | +0.64% | In Line |
| 2026-04-22 | CHDN | Churchill Downs Inc | C | Watchlist | 32.0 | Low Growth | Volatility | $92.91 | 1.02 | 1.21 | +18.20% | Beat |
| 2026-04-22 | IBM | International Business Machines Corp | C | Watchlist | 32.0 | Low Growth | Volatility | $253.71 | 1.82 | 1.91 | +4.88% | Beat |
| 2026-04-22 | LRCX | Lam Research Corp | C | Watchlist | 36.0 | Valuation Risk | Volatility | $263.16 | 1.38 | 1.47 | +6.18% | Beat |
| 2026-04-22 | LUV | Southwest Airlines Co | B | Medium Confidence | 41.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $41.82 | 0.48 | 0.45 | -5.62% | Miss |
| 2026-04-22 | MAS | Masco Corp | D | Watchlist | 25.0 | Low Growth | Watch Only | $66.68 | 0.89 | 1.04 | +17.41% | Beat |
| 2026-04-22 | NOW | ServiceNow Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 41.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $99.72 | 0.97 | 0.97 | -0.34% | In Line |
| 2026-04-22 | PM | Philip Morris International Inc | D | Watchlist | 27.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $157.55 | 1.89 | 1.96 | +3.97% | Beat |
| 2026-04-22 | PTEN | Patterson-UTI Energy Inc | C | Watchlist | 35.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $9.77 | -0.10 | -0.06 | +41.23% | Beat |
| 2026-04-22 | QS | Quantumscape Corp | F | Watchlist | 0.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $7.18 | -0.18 | -0.16 | +12.33% | Beat |
| 2026-04-22 | T | AT&T Inc | C | Watchlist | 31.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $26.18 | 0.57 | No Result | ||
| 2026-04-22 | TEL | TE Connectivity PLC | C | Watchlist | 32.0 | Low Growth | Volatility | $247.66 | 2.73 | No Result | ||
| 2026-04-22 | TSLA | Tesla Inc | F | Watchlist | 10.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $392.50 | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.84% | Beat |
| 2026-04-22 | TXN | Texas Instruments Inc | C | Watchlist | 30.0 | Valuation Risk | Volatility | $233.70 | 1.38 | 1.68 | +21.41% | Beat |
| 2026-04-22 | VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | C | Watchlist | 36.0 | Valuation Risk | Volatility | $314.41 | 1.01 | 1.17 | +16.00% | Beat |
| 2026-04-22 | WEX | WEX Inc | D | Watchlist | 20.0 | Low Growth | Watch Only | $177.13 | 4.06 | 4.15 | +2.13% | Beat |
| 2026-04-23 | AAL | American Airlines Group Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 41.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $12.24 | -0.47 | -0.40 | +15.11% | Beat |
| 2026-04-23 | BFH | Bread Financial Holdings Inc | F | Watchlist | 0.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $91.75 | 3.11 | 4.18 | +34.32% | Beat |
| 2026-04-23 | BKR | Baker Hughes Co | D | Watchlist | 25.0 | Low Growth | Watch Only | $59.17 | 0.50 | 0.58 | +16.16% | Beat |
| 2026-04-23 | CBRE | CBRE Group Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 50.0 | Clean Setup | Conditional | $152.60 | 1.15 | 1.61 | +40.20% | Beat |
| 2026-04-23 | COUR | Coursera Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 47.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $6.55 | 0.08 | 0.07 | -17.06% | Miss |
| 2026-04-23 | DOW | Dow Inc | C | Watchlist | 30.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $36.77 | -0.27 | -0.14 | +48.15% | Beat |
| 2026-04-23 | FCX | Freeport-McMoRan Inc | D | Watchlist | 26.0 | Low Growth | Watch Only | $70.18 | 0.46 | 0.57 | +23.75% | Beat |
| 2026-04-23 | INTC | Intel Corp | F | Watchlist | 15.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $65.70 | 0.01 | 0.29 | +3,052.17% | Beat |
| 2026-04-23 | MBLY | Mobileye Global Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 45.0 | Clean Setup | Conditional | $8.04 | 0.09 | 0.12 | +38.57% | Beat |
| 2026-04-23 | NEE | Nextera Energy Inc | D | Watchlist | 22.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $92.01 | 0.94 | 1.09 | +15.52% | Beat |
| 2026-04-24 | PG | Procter & Gamble Co | D | Watchlist | 26.0 | Low Growth | Watch Only | $144.49 | 1.60 | 1.59 | -0.84% | In Line |
| 2026-04-24 | SLB | Slb NV | D | Watchlist | 25.0 | Low Growth | Watch Only | $52.20 | 0.52 | No Result |
