Earnings Performance Dashboard
Performance by Grade
This is the cleanest read on whether A names are outperforming B and C names.
A
Reported: 0
Beats: 0
Misses: 0
In Line: 0
Hit Rate: —
Avg Surprise %: —
B
Reported: 0
Beats: 0
Misses: 0
In Line: 0
Hit Rate: —
Avg Surprise %: —
C
Reported: 0
Beats: 0
Misses: 0
In Line: 0
Hit Rate: —
Avg Surprise %: —
D
Reported: 0
Beats: 0
Misses: 0
In Line: 0
Hit Rate: —
Avg Surprise %: —
F
Reported: 69
Beats: 41
Misses: 23
In Line: 5
Hit Rate: 64.1%
Avg Surprise %: +44.11%
Performance by Confidence Bucket
Shows whether the higher setup-score buckets are actually validating after reports hit.
High Confidence
Reported: 0
Beats: 0
Misses: 0
In Line: 0
Hit Rate: —
Medium Confidence
Reported: 0
Beats: 0
Misses: 0
In Line: 0
Hit Rate: —
Watchlist
Reported: 69
Beats: 41
Misses: 23
In Line: 5
Hit Rate: 64.1%
Weekly Trend
Simple trend view for the last few weeks so you can see if the model is improving.
| Week Start |
Beats |
Misses |
In Line |
Hit Rate |
Avg Surprise % |
| 2026-05-11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
— |
— |
| 2026-05-04 |
41 |
23 |
5 |
64.1% |
+44.11% |
| 2026-04-27 |
37 |
14 |
2 |
72.5% |
+14.44% |
| 2026-04-20 |
11 |
4 |
1 |
73.3% |
+201.79% |
| 2026-04-13 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
— |
— |
| 2026-04-06 |
9 |
3 |
0 |
75% |
-2.48% |
| 2026-03-30 |
12 |
14 |
3 |
46.2% |
-443.12% |
Reported Names This Week
Useful as a spot-check table to make sure the grade math and reported outcomes line up.
| Date |
Ticker |
Company |
Grade |
Bucket |
Score |
Surprise % |
Result |
| 2026-05-05 |
AEP |
American Electric Power Company Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
9.02 |
+4.10% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-05 |
ALAB |
Astera Labs Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
15.62 |
+11.64% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-05 |
AMD |
Advanced Micro Devices Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+5.27% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-05 |
BBAI |
BigBear.ai Holdings Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+1.96% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-05 |
CC |
Chemours Company |
F |
Watchlist |
8.71 |
+201.83% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-05 |
CIFR |
Cipher Mining Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-9.38% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-05 |
CPNG |
Coupang Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-213.81% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-05 |
CYTK |
Cytokinetics Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
7.60 |
+0.91% |
IN LINE |
| 2026-05-05 |
DVN |
Devon Energy Corp |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-0.59% |
IN LINE |
| 2026-05-05 |
ET |
Energy Transfer LP |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-13.07% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-05 |
GFS |
GlobalFoundries Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
12.72 |
+17.61% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-05 |
HL |
Hecla Mining Company |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-13.70% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-05 |
JOBY |
Joby Aviation Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-0.43% |
IN LINE |
| 2026-05-05 |
KOS |
Kosmos Energy Ltd |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-259.82% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-05 |
LCID |
Lucid Group Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-28.30% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-05 |
MSTR |
Microstrategy Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-751.31% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-05 |
NVTS |
Navitas Semiconductor Corp |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+16.84% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-05 |
OXY |
Occidental Petroleum Corp |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+70.80% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-05 |
PFE |
Pfizer Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+3.32% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-05 |
PYPL |
PayPal Holdings Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+3.59% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-05 |
SHOP |
Shopify Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
16.73 |
+6.76% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-05 |
SMCI |
Super Micro Computer Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+32.30% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-05 |
TEM |
Tempus AI Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
13.01 |
+32.82% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-06 |
ADMA |
Adma Biologics Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
14.16 |
-5.28% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-06 |
ARM |
Arm Holdings plc. |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+2.04% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-06 |
AUR |
Aurora Innovation Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+6.62% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-06 |
COHR |
Coherent Corp |
F |
Watchlist |
15.17 |
-1.06% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-06 |
DIS |
Walt Disney Co (The) |
F |
Watchlist |
17.37 |
+4.59% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-06 |
FSLY |
Fastly Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+58.34% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-06 |
IONQ |
IonQ Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-5.76% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-06 |
KHC |
Kraft Heinz Company |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+14.17% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-06 |
OSCR |
Oscar Health Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
15.37 |
+71.46% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-06 |
PCT |
PureCycle Technologies Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
10.53 |
+17.39% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-06 |
PR |
Permian Resources Corp - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+6.88% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-06 |
RUN |
Sunrun Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+2,173.58% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-06 |
RVMD |
Revolution Medicines Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
11.18 |
-22.07% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-06 |
RXRX |
Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+21.76% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-06 |
SNAP |
Snap Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+5.26% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-06 |
UBER |
Uber Technologies Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+0.14% |
IN LINE |
| 2026-05-07 |
AAOI |
Applied Optoelectronics Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-41.41% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-07 |
ABNB |
Airbnb Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
10.28 |
-12.72% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-07 |
AFRM |
Affirm Holdings Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
13.38 |
+79.00% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-07 |
AMPX |
Amprius Technologies Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-625.81% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-07 |
COIN |
Coinbase Global Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-156.74% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-07 |
CRWV |
CoreWeave Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-27.78% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-07 |
DKNG |
DraftKings Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+660.46% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-07 |
ESPR |
Esperion Therapeutics Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+853.42% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-07 |
GILD |
Gilead Sciences Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
15.56 |
+3.97% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-07 |
HIMX |
Himax Technologies |
F |
Watchlist |
9.67 |
+8.93% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-07 |
HTZ |
Hertz Global Holdings Inc (New) |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+0.51% |
IN LINE |
| 2026-05-07 |
INDI |
Indie Semiconductor Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
17.55 |
+8.54% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-07 |
INSM |
Insmed Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
7.00 |
+22.83% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-07 |
INSW |
International Seaways Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
5.03 |
+62.15% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-07 |
IREN |
Iris Energy Ltd |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-43.02% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-07 |
MCD |
McDonald`s Corp |
F |
Watchlist |
11.07 |
+2.13% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-07 |
MP |
MP Materials Corporation |
F |
Watchlist |
15.87 |
+528.57% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-07 |
OPEN |
Opendoor Technologies Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+29.97% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-07 |
PRMB |
Primo Brands Corp - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
11.28 |
-9.27% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-07 |
RCAT |
Red Cat Holdings Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-83.33% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-07 |
RKLB |
Rocket Lab USA Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+75.46% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-07 |
RKT |
Rocket Companies Inc Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+23.76% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-07 |
SERV |
Serve Robotics Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
10.40 |
-11.09% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-07 |
SMR |
NuScale Power Corporation - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-8.78% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-07 |
SOUN |
SoundHound AI Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-33.63% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-07 |
TTD |
Trade Desk Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
-13.26% |
MISS |
| 2026-05-07 |
U |
Unity Software Inc |
F |
Watchlist |
19.00 |
+197.25% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-07 |
XYZ |
Block Inc - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
12.93 |
+24.74% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-08 |
PAGP |
Plains GP Holdings LP - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
3.63 |
+37.46% |
BEAT |
| 2026-05-08 |
WEN |
Wendy`s Co - Class A |
F |
Watchlist |
15.00 |
+23.58% |
BEAT |